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    Monday, 9 January 2017

    Gold edges up, but gains limited by rate hike prospects

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    Spot gold edged 0.1 percent higher to $1,174.23 an ounce by 0715 GMT. Gold gained nearly two percent last week, its biggest weekly rise since early November, although it fell on Friday as Fed officials commented on data that pointed to an improving U.S. economy. Gold edged up slightly in a technical rebound on Monday after one-month highs hit last week were undercut by the prospects of more interest rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve.
    U.S. gold futures were up 0.1 percent at $1,174.10 per ounce.
    "Some kind of rebound in gold prices is still in place," said Mark To, head of research at Hong Kong's Wing Fung Financial Group.
    "However, the impact of monetary policy changes like rising U.S. interest rates will be felt gradually and the quick rebound in gold price should be finished."Spot gold is up nearly 5 percent from mid-December, when it touched 10-month lows.
    "Seasonally, January is a very bullish month for gold," said Amit Kumar Gupta, research head at Adroit Financial Services, adding that the Chinese New Year this month is expected to increase physical buying. A slight correction in the dollar index from its recent highs also helped gold prices, he added. The dollar surged to 103.820, its highest level since December 2002 last week. Spot gold may retest a resistance at $1,182 per ounce, a break above which could open the way towards $1,219 an ounce, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

    Although U.S. employment increased less than expected in December, U.S. jobs data on Friday showed a rebound in wages, pointing to sustained labour market momentum.Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Friday the central bank could raise interest rates three times this year, faster than he had expected just a few months ago.

    Evans and other regional Fed presidents are scheduled to speak this week, and the outlook for U.S. rates may become even clearer when Chair Janet Yellen appears at a webcast town hall meeting with educators on Thursday. "As long as the U.S. economic data is good, people are expecting rate hikes to be more hawkish and short gold at $1,200 levels," To said.

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